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research poll. governor romney now holding a four point lead among likely voters who were surveyed after the debate. that is a big swing from mid september when president obama was ahead by eight. that was this afternoon, a short time ago, a poll running in the detroit free press shows the president's lead shrinking to just three points in michigan. mr. obama had a ten poernt lead there last month. mitt romney's running mate, paul ryan, is in michigan tonight addressing a rally at oakland university in the town of rochester just outside detroit. the question tonight, if the mood of voters is changing here, could it also be a sign that it's changing in ohio as well, another key battleground state. the poll in the free press and the pew poll not the only good news for the romney forces. they got a big boost as well in gallup's tracking poll which shows a 47-47 tie among likely voters contacted on the 4th through the 6th. in pre-debate polling, mr. obama, president obama, led by five. now, as for today's pew poll, the obama campaign takes issue with the party make-up of people surveyed, say
are definitely looking out for you. >> sean: mitt romney closes the gap and latest poll numbers fell. dick morris, ann coulter, the latest on romney's debate battle. >> just so everybody understands l critics slammed his performance. >> it's okay. >> no problem. >> tonight, setting the record straight. and an explosive details emerging about a campaign donor scandal that could and former un ambassador john bolton breaks down. >> the hope is not a strategy. we're 29 days from the election, hannity starts right here, right now. governor mitt romney's impressive performance at the presidential debate will go down in history as most decisive victory in history. and and there is a record-breaking 52 point margin, 72% think romney did a better job than president barack obama. and there is cause for polls as well, nationally and in battle ground states. begin with the latest survey. the governor now tied among registered voters and and three more days after the debate has to be counted. according to the pew research center poll, romney leads 49% to 45%. according to the brand new georg
are definitely looking out for you. >> sean: mitt romney closes the gap. could the latest poll numbers spell a disaster for the anointed one? dick morris, ann coulter, pat cacaddel on the latest debate bounce. critics slam his performance at last week's debate. tonight veteran newsman jim lehrer is here to set the record straight. explosive new details are emerging about a campaign donor scandal that could rock the obama white house. >> it's time to change course in the middle east. >> plus, former u.n. embassy john bolten breaks down mitt romney's doctrine versus the anointed one. >> hope is not a strategy. >> sean: governor mitt romney's impressive performance last week will go down as the most decisive victory in history and americans must agree, because according to a brand-new gallup poll by a record-breaking 52-point margin, 72% of voters think romney did a much better job than president barack obama. anointed one stumbling and bumbling in denver is costing him in the polls, nationally and in battleground states. the latest gallup survey, the governor is now tied with the
to a brand-new gallup poll by a record-breaking 52-point margin, 72% of voters think romney did a much better job than president barack obama. anointed one stumbling and bumbling in denver is costing him in the polls, nationally and in battleground states. the latest gallup survey, the governor is now tied with the president among registered voters, a five-point swing in romney's favor in the days immediately following the debate. by the way, it's a seven-day rolling average, and three more days after the debate have yet to be counted. according to the newly-released pew research center poll, romney leads among likely voters -- get this -- 49% to 45%. according to the brand-new george washington politico poll, voter enthusiasm has shifted dramatically in romney's in favor. on top of that, the polls show romney is leading among independent voters by a staggering 16%. according to fox news polls, exit polls in 2008, obama won the independent vote by 8%. so that means that's a 24-point shift with 29 days before the election. all of this has sent the obama campaign into full crisis and panic mode
going up faster than mitt romney's poll numbers because of mitt romney's poll numbers. >> up next, a republican with a different view of thou fix america's fiscal mess. david stockman served in the reagan administration but he's not talking tax cuts, quite the opposite. larry kudlow will take him on. we count you down to the vice presidential debate in danville, kentucky. two years ago, the people of bp made a commitment to the gulf. and every day since, we've worked hard to keep it. bp has paid over twenty-three billion dollars to help people and businesses who were affected, and to cover cleanup costs. today, the beaches and gulf are open for everyone to enjoy -- and many areas are reporting their best tourism seasons in years. we've shared what we've learned with governments and across the industry so we can all produce energy more safely. i want you to know, there's another commitment bp takes just as seriously: our commitment to america. bp supports nearly two-hundred-fifty thousand jobs in communities across the country. we hired three thousand people just last year. bp inve
the republican campaign has to win, i believe, if mitt romney's to become president, let's see if the poll numbers in that state of ohio which we're going to see as this week proceeds, let's see if those numbers have tightened there because that's going to be a key number for us. >> it certainly must be a huge wake-up call for the obama campaign, these pew research poll numbers that have just come out. >> yeah. >> so what do they do now? they've got a vice presidential debate coming up thursday night. >> they've got to have a couple of good presidential debates and they all believe that the president can do it and clearly the president himself understands that he didn't perform the way he would have hoped in the first debate. i do think that this puts a little bit of pressure on joe biden to perform well. having talked to my sources in the biden camp, they say they're sticking with their game plan, that is to draw contrast with paul ryan. that they intend to do that. that they intend to talk about foreign policy as well as domestic policy. and that they want to continue to draw the contras
, a major shake-up in the polls. only 29 days before the presidential election. mitt romney clearly riding very high since his strong showing in the first presidential debate. and now he has taken the lead in a closely watched and highly respected poll. take a look at these numbers just released by the pew research center. mitt romney now four points ahead of president obama among likely voters nationwide, erasing the president's eight-point lead before the first debate. let's go deeper right now with our chief political analyst gloria borger, she's joining us. it's clear that that debate has really, really helped mitt romney. >> yeah, i don't think the romney campaign could have wanted to do any more with this debate than they did. if you look across the board at these numbers, wolf, romney has made gains in almost every area including somebody who's better able to improve the jobs situation. he leads -- romney leads obama by eight points on that. so whether it's on the economy, whether it's on leadership, he's now tied with the president. as far as leadership ability is concerned. so i t
mitt romney. he's heading for ohio where we have brand new poll numbers just coming in. we're going to see what a difference one debate has made. also, rare access into the syrian president bashar al assad's inner circle. a one-time insider sits down with cnn, admits covering up crimes and so much more. i'm wolf blitzer. you're in "the situation room." >>> this just coming into "the situation room" as we await our interview with mitt romney, we have brands new poll numbers from one of the most crucial battleground states in the country certainly on the cnn electoral college map, ohio. both presidential candidates will be there today. and look at this. romney's catching up dramatically. president obama's still ahead 51% to 47%. but his four-point lead falls now within the poll's sampling error. the president had a nine-point lead in our most recent poll of polls in ohio, which was completed just before last week's presidential debate in denver. our chief national correspondent john king is joining us from the state capital of columbus right now. john, you're taking a closer look at t
tie. governor romney up two points there. again, a dead heat in the poll numbers in the battleground of the suburbs. and among key older voters, 50 and older, those most reliable to vote, the president up one point. a statistical tie. you look at this, it's dramatic turnaround from governor romney two weeks ago a lot of republicans saying is there any way we can win without ohio? you know the history as well as anyone. no republican has ever won without this state. that soul searching is now over. the governor will be here today. you're going to talk to him in a bit. they now say ohio is back in play. they need it back in play. no way to win without it. >> a critical state. there are some areas in this new poll where significant gaps do remain, john. how does that bode for the final month of campaigning? we're now in the final month. >> reporter: it's fascinating. we are in the final month. four weeks from today america votes. here's something encouraging for governor romney. because this is a state with a significant african-american population, president obama has a strong base her
of the reasons why you see governor romney improve in terms of polls is got the discussion back on the economy and the central issues of taxes and seeing clearly both sides have a different view in terms of what the governor proposing. watching that play out and ultimately i would suggest this is a good conversation for governor romney to be involved in. >> let me just make the point that, you know, governor romney pays a 14% income tax rate which is less than most working families pay in this country and ought to be the first question to him. if we all believe and i think we should that we need to reform the tax code the demonstration of that is the fact there's wealthy man that pays a 14% tax rate, much less than most americans. >> we didn't hear that from the president and one of the reasons even democrats obviously very concerned about the debate performance. but david, an obama fund-raiser in new york summed it up this way. the jobs numbers and the campaign-finance numbers which we just saw will take democrats out of group therapy and keep them focused on the urgent task ahead of re-elect
>>> good morning. i'm chris janesing. mitt romney pulled dead even with president obama in the very latest gallup tracking poll. before the debate, the president was up by five. >> we had a little debate earlier this week and i enjoyed myself. >> the romney campaign is making adjustments trying to keep the momentum going and move the elect rat in the swing states where it counts. nest hour, he'll be giving a major foreign policy speech and then later in the day campaigning in newport news. >> the chief is preparing for a co comeback and joking about the last performance. >> everybody here incredible professionals, such great friends and they just perform flawlessly. night after night. i can't always say the same. >> i want to bring in perry bacon and robert costa. good morning, guys. >> good morning, chris. >> good morning. >> so, what do you think? does this poll give the obama campaign something to worry about? what do you think, perry? >> i think the debate performance gave them something to worry about. you have seen democrats very strongly critical of his debate performance. th
or not but consistent with data we see. it's consistent with the poll that shows romney doing well over a long early time period that includes the days after the debate went well. it's consistent with state numbers that show bahama doing pretty well in the last two days but much worse on friday and saturday. it's also consistent with rasmussen which shows obama going back to predebate levels. so i think that the way you can synthesize all this is romney had a great couple of days after the debates, but now it's a little better for obama. >> you mentioned the state polls there. this is a question i'm sorting out and you wrote about it in the last few days. the conventional wisdom among the political science crowd is you don't have much variance between where the national horse race stands and where the race stands in the battleground states. if it moves nationally, it moves the same direction in the swing states. we see in this race closer polls nationally where obama will only be ahead by two points or whatever it is, and then you look at ohio and virginia and you see four or five, six, seven point
, obama and romney were typed according to gallup. the seven-day tracking poll that includes three debate days and four post-debate days has the race at 50-45 obama. to help us sort it out let's welcome back nate. today he wrote about romney's bounce and how long it might last. nate, thank god we have you here. my head is spinning trying to sort through it. let me lay it out for everybody and you can interpret it. gat will you please released yesterday three days of polls after the debate and said we have a tied race. gallup has a seven-day average that shows bahaobama gaining a t and losing a point. we have that, and then on the other end we have just before the show came on today, the daily coast and the sciu liberal groups say they have a poll coming out tomorrow that puts romney ahead. i got no idea. you tell us, where does this race stand right now? >> it's a little complicated, but keep in mind how the trackers work. when they add a new day of interviews, they drop the oldest day. when you see obama gaining now, that means that obama's interviews yesterday were even better than thos
romney ahead by four points among likely voters. unlike many of those elsewhere, we actually accept polls. regard ltion of this finding, if bending the truth were a crime, it really did pay, did it not, for mr. romney at the first debate? >> well, this isn't the first time, if that's the case, and, indeed, shall we say he had kind of a loose relationship with the facts coloring them to favor his own side, and the question is does it matter at this point when we already know that about 95% of the voters have made up their minds and their feelings about the candidates are pretty well baked in. the people watching now are what we call the low information voters. they can't help it, they're busy with other things perhaps, but they're catching up to the campaign now, and they're going by first impressions, and they might not be that familiar with all the context of the figure that is romney is quoting, and this was where president obama could have done a better job of responding on the spot, but i guess he didn't want to appear rude. >> indeed. okay. i should point out that the gallup tracking
poll putting the president up five points nationwide leading romney 50% to 45%. but that was before romney rolled out his latest effort to get a jump on global matters two weeks before he'll meet the president for their third and final debate on the topic of foreign policy. earlier today mr. romney visited the ji military institute to deliver what his campaign described as a major address on foreign policy and to try out some new fear-flavored zingers focused on the middle east. >> it's clear that the risk of conflict in the region is higher now than when the president took office. i know the president hopes for a safer, freer, and more prosperous middle east allied with us. i share this hope, but hope is not a strategy. >> but even after today's tenth major foreign policy address by mr. romney, questions remain about how he would conduct american policy toward the rest of the world. how about libya? >> in the libya i'll support the libyan people's efforts to forge a lasting government that represents all of them, and i'll vigorously pursue the terrorists who attacked our consulate
-point reversal from a week ago. >>> and according to a "new york times"/cbs poll, mitt romney leads the president by one point in colorado. last month the president was up one point in that state. in virginia, president obama's lead from last month grew slightly. he's now up 51%-46%. and in wisconsin, the candidates are within the margin of error after the president lost a point from last month and mitt romney gained two. in all three battleground states, voters by double digits believe the economy is getting better compared to the numbers back in july. >> and mark halperin, that may be the big takeaway from this poll. the race is getting much closer. nobody can predict what's going to happen. if you look at a big friend, thoug trend, you've got to look at a lot of americans in these swing states are looking at the economy saying things are getting better. >> it's clearly a huge factor and yet, obviously, the debate from denver is also a huge factor. i think, you know, we look a lot at the margin of error, and these numbers aren't shifting all that much. what's key is in a lot of the states the p
. check out this new cnn poll of polls. mitt romney has a two-point lead over president obama in that national poll there. here is the story in ohio where president obama holds a three-point lead. romney will be in ohio today campaigning. >> now, he's looking to capitalize on the momentum from the first presidential debate. debate number two is tuesday, but thursday's vp debate is still a hot topic on the trail. cnn political national correspondent jim acosta has more. >> randi and victor, the debate after the debate has been about substance most notably the vice president's comments on libya. >> i feel great. >> reporter: at breakfastfter his fiery debate, paul ryan still had his sunny side up. >> no, it's what i expected. ryan offered no complaints about biden's aggressive performance, which was designed to put some points on the president's scoreboard, whether it was on ryan's past request for stimulus money. >> on two situations -- >> reporter: orryan's attempt to compare mitt romney to jack kennedy. >> now you're jack kennedy. >> reporter: ryan was able to fire back with
according to the polling. >> i think money has had an impact, especially in ohio. the romney campaign hadn't been advertising in youngstown for the first couple of weeks of last month. that hurt hem in the polls. the romney campaign has to step up to make sure they have the resources. the enthusiasm gap really helps them. this will be a tight election. both sides will be excited. >> bill, you worked in the white house. you have done debate prep before. what happened? who didn't show up? where was barack obama last wednesday? >> i don't think anybody, including the media was ready for mitt romney. somebody willing to walk away from their bigs policy positions, talk about -- >> we watched him in the primary debates. he demolished newt gingrich. >> he did do pretty good. i don't think he won those by not telling the truth about what he was for. the republican debates you had a clearer sense of where he was. not this strange new picture. >> the biggest lie of the campaign is the lie that mitt romney will raise taxes on the middle class. mitt romney has no chance of raising taxes on the middle
swine is the winner. number nbc -- the news begins anew. polls today show that governor romney is gaining ground on the president. the battle for the buck i didn't state is just ahead. another day of record gas prices in california but relief is on the way. another jump in the death toll from the meningitis outbreak that is sweeping state to state. that is all ahead unless breaking news changes everything. first from fox at 3:00 in new york city, four weeks from the day of election. both nominees are getting big betting on ohio. analysts say ohio is a must win for mitt romney. no republican has won the white house without taking the votes out of ohio first, this year, 18. room any campaigned step up the ohio game sending more workers to the state. governor romney will spend four of the next five days stumping there. that is the plan. new presidents show governor romney riding high after last week's strong debate performance. there are still no new polls from ohio since last week but a just-released reuters national poll shows the nominees are in a dead heat. 45 completely erasi
the lead of the president. the latest poll from pew shows governor romney with a four-point lead. he was trailing president obama by four points three weeks ago. wendell is at the white house. but, first, john roberts is traveling with the romney camp this afternoon. what is the enthusiasm like for the governor there? >>reporter: well, he is trying to narrow the enthusiasm gap. he won this county, madison county, in the caucus with only 17 percent of the vote. 64 percent voted "other" in the caucus. now many republicans in this state have found the candidate they were looking for. the polls are narrowing here. president obama now up by only three points. this event in rural america at a family farm, governor romney said that in his administration he would implement policies that would help rural america to grow. >> there are big differences between the president and me the he has no plan if rural america. no plan for agriculture. no plan for getting people back to work. i do. i have spoken about it all over the country. i will help the american farmer, our economy and get america wor
michigan where romney has been trailing in the polls, with country, particularly in the southern part of ohio, where there is a much more conservative electorate where romney is looking for a big, big turnout. early voting has begun here in ohio. and all in these events they're encouraging people to go direct from their rallies and cast their ballots. this is a very critical state for the romney campaign. they're pleased with the way polls are going. they say they're going to win here. the political reality may be they have to win here if he hopes to end up in the white house. >> arthel: all right. carl cameron, all the music sounds good to me. thank you. it's indeed a critical state. eric? >> eric: president obama's day now, he's taking some time off from the campaign trail, spending a few days to prepare for the much anticipated secretary debate that will occur on long island new york this tuesday night. ed henry is with the president in williamsburg. hey, ed. >> great to see you. the president obviously did not pick virginia by accident to do this debate prep. last time it was neva
quinnipiac poll, little boost from the debate there. let's come over to a huge state. romney probably needs to win florida. i can give you a scenario where he wins without florida, but it's a hard one. he had been down pretty big numbers. look at this. "the wall street journal" poll 48% to 47%, a statistical tie in the battleground state of florida. come up the coast, predebate there were polls in the state of virginia showing the president opening up a big lead outside the margin of error. new poll out today, romney 48%, president obama 47%. a statistical tie in battleground virginia. so there's colorado, nevada, florida, virginia. and one i'm just back wolf from the state of ohio. we had a cnn poll showing romney making gains. president still with a very narrow lead. consistent with that a new nbc "the wall street journal" poll out today, governor romney at 45%, predebate polls showing romney down seven, eight, even nine points. in all the battleground states and national polls romney's coming up. that's the momentum the republicans hope to keep in tonight's debate. >> john, is there any
is on the line tonight. governor romney built on it in the first debate. we know this, brand new poll in the state of nevada shows a two-point race. the president had been ahead a bit more there. keep going through the battlegrounds. look at colorado. a state on romney's agenda. he tends to have been doing better in the west. nevada had been doing closer. new quinnipiac poll, little boost from the debate there. let's come over to a huge state. romney probably needs to win florida. i can give you a scenario where he wins without florida, but it's a hard one. he had been down pretty big numbers. look at this. "the wall street journal" poll 48% to 47%, a statistical tie in the battleground state of florida. come up the coast, predebate there were polls in the state of virginia showing the president opening up a big lead outside the margin of error. new poll out today, romney 48%, president obama 47%. a statistical tie in battleground virginia. so there's colorado, nevada, florida, virginia. and one i'm just back wolf from the state of ohio. we had a cnn poll showing romney making gains.
he just said, the polls are suggesting that it's actually being quite efficacious for mitt romney to give a top line but no content, no details. >> well -- >> that duth suggests that the decker to rat isn't listening. >> debates can change the course of the race but generally you have to look at all three presidential debates and see where things are. we're in a very volatile moment because things are moving quite clearly after that first debate. and it's very hard to know where things will settle other than the historical precedent when we saw it happen for instance in 2004. john kerry got a significant bump out of that first debate, george bush, ep though he was hardly an expert debater, did claw back in debates two and three, and the race ended up off where it was predebate but still with the president, at the time president bush, ahead. so let's wait and see where this settles down. the other factor people are completely ignoring is there is the economy. the economy is getting better, pal panelly across all measures. consumer confidence, unemployment. that's affecting the unde
, this afternoon's gallup poll showing the president leading mitt romney 49% to 46% among registered voters. among likely voters it's romney up by two leading the president 49% to 47%. folks, this is a tight race as both candidates are keenly aware. romney began in iowa, one of the states that could prove crucial to his hopes for a path to 270 electoral votes. and he was introduced by his son, josh, who had an interesting take on romney's debate preparation. >> we'd say the same lie over and over and my dad learned then not to believe it. so while we didn't go to any of the formal debate preparation, we did the real hard stuff. as a father, he learned how to debate an obstinate child. >> kicking it off by suggesting the president is an obstinate child. that's great, mr. romney. what do you have for sale? >> i am going to put a cap on regulation and any new major regulation will have to be approved by congress. i'm not letting the politicians off the hook. >> absolutely, he's not letting politicians off the hook, just wall street, k street, polluters, abusers, everyone else. the president spent las
tonight. so much at stake, as new polls show mitt romney closing the gap in key states. the president gave diane sawyer his advice for joe biden. >> i think joe just needs to be joe. >>> and breaking overnight, a body found. a grim discovery in the haunting case of what happened to 10-year-old jessica ridgeway. police ruling out her parents as suspects. and now, a manhunt is on for a killer. >>> 30 days ago, i'll walk through these doors and i'm going home. i'm going home. >> homecoming. a huge milestone for robin on her road to recovery. finally leaving the hospital after weeks of grueling treatment. her doctors, friends and family cheer her on. and we have her message for everyone this morning. ♪ hey, hey oh, you feel it now ♪ ♪ amen, amen >> going home now. >> woo. >>> and how is that for a start to the morning? [ applause ] wow. amen. amen, robin. we are so happy for you. everyone on team robin, so thrilled that you are finally home, waking up this morning, after so many weeks in the hospital. we're going to talk to robin's doctor, in just a little bit. we see the fist-pumps up i
mitt romney moving from being behind by 8 points to being ahead by 4 points. the rasmussen poll out this morning also conducted post-debate that show them tied. rasmussen has a reputation for being a poll that makes republicans look good. gallup is considered a nonpartisan poll, not one with a tilt one way or the other. they show president obama up five points, though much closer for the post-debate portion of the sample. president obama was on the west coast today courting latinos, and he gave some remarks about the state of the economy and how it affects latinos. >> no matter who you are and what you look like or where you come from, this is the place where you can make it if you try. today we have more work to do to fulfill that promise. the recession we're fighting our way back from is still taking a toll, but thanks to the strength and character of american people, we are making progress. >> now, of course, latinos are one of the reasons president obama has been doing well in some of the western states like colorado, nevada, new mexico, as well as florida. we now have to see gi
on following mitt romney's powerful debate. many polls suggest the first presidential debate wiped out much of the lead held by president obama. >> one thing i will be looking for is whether or not joe biden is going to address the contrast between the barack obama that he described, in his convention speech, and the barack obama we saw in the stage in denver last week. that is one think this i will be watching for. can biden repair obama's image? >> reporter: congressman paul ryan arrived in the blue grass state yesterday. many say the 42-year-old wisconsin congressman will rely on the extensive knowledge of the federal budget and the economy in tonight's debate. >> a couple of weeks ago, thought it was -- obama's lead was lengthening, but now it's narrowed quite a bit. i would like to hear them engage in some substantive issues, and i look forward to hearing ryan's budget plans. >>> craig bosswell live in danville, kentucky, joining us live. a lot of analysis floating around on this one. with regard to biden, smart folks are saying he has to make up for his boss's tumble during the debate
this comes as the romney rally continues in the latest polls. rasmussen has romney up by one. investors business daily has romney leading obama by five, 49-44. there's the daily tracking poll. with tomorrow night's debate, won't the inevitable paul ryan victory just send team obama over the edge into the looney bin? well, that's kind of the way i see it. but there may be some disagreement. we have karen finney, columnest for "the hill." and kate obenshane. ms. finney, this is the way i look t it. romney is smarter than biden. romney is better informed than biden. romney is younger than biden. and romney is cuter than biden. so i think romney's just going to do great in this debate, your thought? >> i assume you mean ryan. >> i did mean ryan, i'm sorry. i take it all back. >> if ryan wants to show those abs, i'm sure the audience would love it. look, there are a couple of things. joe biden will be able to hold ryan's feet to the fire in a way that i don't think anyone else has. and we've heard some of that conversation earlier this evening on your program talking specifically about the b
. >> patti ann: after governor romney's strong debate performance last week, new polls show that the debate tightening in nearly a dozen battleground states. what does it mean in the final weeks of campaign season. jamie weanstein is co-author of the shocking inside account of obama's ambitions by an anonymous white house staffer. thank you for joining us. what does president obama need to do to get some momentum back? >> certainly on tuesday he has a chance to reverse his terrible debate performance of october 3rd. that will be another big national stage moment with millions of viewers turning in. if he can try to pick the moey l momentum away from mitt romney during that debate perhaps he can turn the tide. right now the momentum seems to be romney's favor. >> let's talk specifically about battleground states, wisconsin, pennsylvania, new hampshire and michigan were all leading in obama and now considered toss-ups. let's start with wisconsin. what is happening there? >> all those four states as you said were switched by real clear politics. in wisconsin that is where paul ryan is from, mi
that shows romney is up by 7. obama campaign disputes the poll that the hispanic voters are not as close as that poll shows. that is pretty significant lead in florida with rom up 7. he certainly as the momentum. that would be a crucial at a time for him on his way to the presidency. >> you mentioned ohio where the president has had a lead for months. it has shrunk all the way down to statistical dead heat. >> no candidate has won the presidency in 1964 without winning ohio. only one candidate has won the presidency since 1948. this is a state that usually a bellwether. it's going to be no different this year. right now carl cameron is watching the rally there. that is where the candidates are spending a lot of time putting a lot of ads. romney is narrowly down by 2 percentage points. i would think as goes ohio, goes this election. whoever wins ohio will win the election. >> patti ann: north carolina, romney was leading but now high is leading by more. what about north carolina? >> i think this is going to be romney's election. they have it in the toss-up category. president obama won it
't say any more that debates don't matter. the new cnn poll, poll of polls, mitt romney has a slight lead with likely voters, 48% to 47%. his performance certainly showed that you can't say it doesn't matter anymore. there is no bigger swing state than ohio, where you are. >> reporter: the history tells you no republican has ever been elected president without winning the state of ohio. can you do the math and have romney win without this state? yes. is it likely? no. before the debate some polls had him down as many as nine points in ohio. new cnn poll row leased last night has him down four, 51-47. another group, american research group show ed romney up a point in ohio. no question. just like in the national polls, a bit of a boost. romney is up in the suburbs, up among independents. there's signs of strength here from romney, we can tell you there are a few soft spots he needs to work on. >> john king in ohio, covering the debates as well. thank you very much. watch live coverage of the debate tomorrow night, 7:00 eastern. watch it on cnn or on cnn.com. >>> happening this morning, the
new polls show the race between president obama and republican rival mitt romney is closer than ever. nbc's tracie potts has more from washington. good morning to you. >> reporter: good morning. they're raising a lot of money, too. which is why we'll see more of those ads. romney today in iowa and ohio. speaking of campaign slogans, turns out he may end up repeating a new one he coined yesterday. we first heard it on monday. he argued president obama's policies made the world more dangerous. >> the risk of conflict in the region is higher now than when the president took office. >> reporter: romney promised to create one person to deal with the middle east, arm syria's rebels, sanction iran if needed, expand the navy and push free trade. democrats weren't impressed. >> i'm a professor. if one of my students turned it in, they would get a c because he gave absolutely no specifics. >> reporter: pew has it up four points, gallup says the positive jobs report gave president obama a five-point boost. courting hispanics there, but he also said that mitt romney's debate was more style over
schwartz runs quinnipiac universitys polling institute. >> right now, pew has romney up by three points. gallup has obama up by five points in their seven-day track, but since the debate they have obama up by just three points. >> reporter: or how about old friend ray fair, an economist we've been visiting every four years since the george h.w. bush administration. he's got an economic model. >> so right at this moment, its 49.5% of the two-party vote for obama. >> reporter: so the polls and models call it a toss-up. but curiously, the betting public tells a very different story. online betting prediction markets, like ireland's intrade, which takes bets from americans, and england's betfair, which doesnt, have made obama the strong favorite for months. the lone domestic and entirely legal betting haven, the iowa electronic maets at the university of iowa. ever frugal, we asked hari srinivasan, our man in the midwest-- at least last week-- to drop in. >> sreenivasan: this is the entire iowa electronic market? >> this is our server room right here. >> sreenivasan: so the entire predictio
to you on this question, because the polls, recent polls in particular show that governor romney closed what had been a very large gap, especially among women voters just in the last week. so what do you think's going on there and what do you think are the issues driving that? >> well there are two things going on. first of all we need to remember that, and kellyanne said it as well, women voters didn't like mitt romney, at all. by 20 points they personally disliked him going into that first debate. they saw an mitt romney that was very different than what they had expected and saw someone that they thought was much more rod mate-- moderate, more likable than they expected. that said, women still were voting for (back-- barack obama after the debate in the battleground poll, for example, by 10 points. and so women are still support og bama, men are still supporting mitt romney. and in the battleground states that's even more. the biggest difference in the polls, were how energized the democratic women were. a lot of unmarried women, a lot of younger women were not very energized after t
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